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Short rate model : ウィキペディア英語版
Short-rate model
A short-rate model, in the context of interest rate derivatives, is a mathematical model that describes the future evolution of interest rates by describing the future evolution of the short rate, usually written r_t \,.
==The short rate==
Under a short rate model, the stochastic state variable is taken to be the instantaneous spot rate.〔(''Short rate models'' ), Prof. Andrew Lesniewski, NYU〕 The short rate, r_t \,, then, is the (continuously compounded, annualized) interest rate at which an entity can borrow money for an infinitesimally short period of time from time t. Specifying the current short rate does not specify the entire yield curve. However no-arbitrage arguments show that, under some fairly relaxed technical conditions, if we model the evolution of r_t \, as a stochastic process under a risk-neutral measure Q then the price at time t of a zero-coupon bond maturing at time T with a payoff of 1 is given by
: P(t,T) = \mathbb^Q\left(\exp \right| \mathcal_t \right )
where \mathcal is the natural filtration for the process. The interest rates implied by the zero coupon bonds form a yield curve or more precisely, a zero curve. Thus specifying a model for the short rate specifies future bond prices. This means that instantaneous forward rates are also specified by the usual formula
: f(t,T) = - \frac \ln(P(t,T)).

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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